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The Journal of Dan Kasten

The Muddiness Of Right And Wrong
08/24/2007 01:26 a.m.
As a title… “The Muddiness Of Right And Wrong” so adequately sums up how complicated the interaction of life and society can be when both targets are forever moving tangentially.

Line six taken from “Shortcomings Can Be Incomplet” (misspelling intended) by The Rise Of Science, an emo Indie band from Atlanta. From there, Bayes took over.

Thomas Bayes was an English philosopher and mathematician, two subjects I enjoy, but which typically clash with each other in discussions of science and religion among thinkers today. Bayes study gave birth to a predictive theory of behavior called “forward probability,” which, essentially and simplistically stated here, posited that events could be predicted based on the relationship of variables to each other.

And, while this seems to make common sense today, Bayes lived in the mid-1700’s, when many of the theorems we understand as true today in science, mathematics and behavior had yet to be proven and certainly not discussed amongst those outside the world of academics.

Bayes Theorem has since come to be the basis of many predictive behavior studies and experiments, ranging from gambling to understanding the weather. It cannot predict how time will guide time…
I am currently Sarcastic
I am listening to Manchester Orchestra... the band from Atlanta, not the symphony.

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